This story is from May 16, 2012

Monsoon to hit Kerala on June 1: Met office

Monsoon is likely to hit the Kerala coast at its normal date by June 1, the Indian Meteorological Department announced on Tuesday.
Monsoon to hit Kerala on June 1: Met office
NEW DELHI: Monsoon is likely to hit the Kerala coast at its normal date by June 1, the Indian Meteorological Department announced on Tuesday.
The projection comes with an error level of four days, implying that the exact date of first showers could be within four days of the June 1 date IMD has predicted.
The timing of the southwest monsoon is always of as much importance as the subsequent rainfall pattern as it impacts agriculture across the country with farmers planning their season’s sowing and working of non-irrigated lands by the monsoon calendar.

The IMD said “monsoon is likely to advance over Andaman Sea slightly later than its normal date” but noted that past data suggested this would not impact when it rains over India and how much.
The IMD had previously predicted that India would enjoy normal monsoons this year even though there is a lingering fear of El Nino effect picking up towards the end of the monsoon season.
A more detailed and regional assessment by the Met department in July usually provides a greater insight into the impacts of monsoon. Even in the previous year, while the overall average monsoon across the country was good, several pockets suffered a deficit and drought-like conditions prevailed in some zones that normally enjoy good rains.
The regional distribution of monsoon as well as any ‘breaks’ that the upward movement of the monsoon system suffers is important for planning farming stages in different parts of the country.
This time around, the accumulating mountain of grains in government godowns and the likely damage from rainfall to the goods stored in the open is likely to cause greater headache to the states as well as the central government.
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